kch123 analysis, copy-trade sim, monitoring, admin panel todos, nginx proxy

2026-02-08 11:14:14 -06:00
parent cac47724b1
commit 301ec6baeb
21 changed files with 1813 additions and 178 deletions
--- a/projects/feed-hunter/data/investigations/kch123-wallet-analysis.json
+++ b/projects/feed-hunter/data/investigations/kch123-wallet-analysis.json
@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+{
+  "wallet": "0x6a72f61820b26b1fe4d956e17b6dc2a1ea3033ee",
+  "username": "kch123",
+  "pseudonym": "Aggravating-Grin",
+  "profilePnl": 9377711.0,
+  "joinedDate": "Jun 2025",
+  "walletCount": 1,
+  "walletNote": "Only one proxy wallet found. The $9.37M profile P&L includes redeemed (settled) winning positions not visible in the positions endpoint. The positions endpoint shows mostly losing bets that resolved to $0.",
+  "positionsAnalysis": {
+    "totalPositions": 459,
+    "totalInvested": 32914987.62,
+    "totalCurrentValue": 2262869.51,
+    "totalCashPnl": -30652118.11,
+    "totalRealizedPnl": 8374.47,
+    "positionsWithGains": 2,
+    "positionsWithLosses": 457,
+    "activePositions": 5,
+    "winRate": "0.4%"
+  },
+  "biggestWin": {
+    "title": "Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?",
+    "outcome": "Yes",
+    "cashPnl": 6216.44,
+    "initialValue": 496691.12
+  },
+  "biggestLoss": {
+    "title": "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?",
+    "outcome": "Yes",
+    "cashPnl": -713998.8,
+    "initialValue": 713998.8
+  },
+  "categoryBreakdown": {
+    "College": {
+      "count": 107,
+      "pnl": -9744840.41,
+      "invested": 9744840.41
+    },
+    "NBA": {
+      "count": 79,
+      "pnl": -7530726.21,
+      "invested": 7530726.21
+    },
+    "NFL": {
+      "count": 97,
+      "pnl": -5476434.89,
+      "invested": 7739304.4
+    },
+    "NHL": {
+      "count": 155,
+      "pnl": -4122313.64,
+      "invested": 4122313.64
+    },
+    "Soccer": {
+      "count": 7,
+      "pnl": -2187856.26,
+      "invested": 2187856.26
+    },
+    "MLB": {
+      "count": 8,
+      "pnl": -1385039.32,
+      "invested": 1385039.32
+    },
+    "Other": {
+      "count": 6,
+      "pnl": -204907.4,
+      "invested": 204907.4
+    }
+  },
+  "activePositions": [
+    {
+      "title": "Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)",
+      "outcome": "Seahawks",
+      "size": 1923821.296,
+      "avgPrice": 0.5068,
+      "currentValue": 971529.7545,
+      "cashPnl": -3589.8505
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "size": 732034.2837,
+      "avgPrice": 0.6785,
+      "currentValue": 502907.5529,
+      "cashPnl": 6216.4351
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "Seahawks vs. Patriots",
+      "outcome": "Seahawks",
+      "size": 607683.1337,
+      "avgPrice": 0.68,
+      "currentValue": 416262.9466,
+      "cashPnl": 3038.4156
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)",
+      "outcome": "Seahawks",
+      "size": 424538.7615,
+      "avgPrice": 0.48,
+      "currentValue": 201655.9117,
+      "cashPnl": -2122.6938
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "size": 248561.7299,
+      "avgPrice": 0.7485,
+      "currentValue": 170513.3467,
+      "cashPnl": -15541.8193
+    }
+  ],
+  "keyInsight": "kch123 operates a SINGLE wallet with a high-volume sports betting strategy. Profile shows +$9.37M lifetime P&L, but visible positions show -$12.6M+ in losses. This means redeemed winning positions total roughly $22M+, making this a massive volume trader who wins enough big bets to overcome enormous losing streaks. The strategy involves huge position sizes ($100K-$1M per bet) across NFL, NBA, NHL, college sports, and soccer."
+}