🎯 KCH123 Polymarket Copy-Trading Analysis

Comprehensive backtest of copying kch123's trading strategy

Wallet: 0x6a72f61820b26b1fe4d956e17b6dc2a1ea3033ee

+$9.37M
kch123's Net Profit
1,862
Total Predictions
+73.1%
Sample ROI
40%
Sample Win Rate

📊 Copy-Trading Simulation Results

Backtested with $10,000 starting bankroll across different timing scenarios:

-$256
Instant Copy
-$346
30-min Delay
-$436
1-hour Delay

🚀 Instant Copy

Final Bankroll$9,743.82
Total P&L-$256.18 (-2.6%)
Win Rate50.0% (2/4 trades)
Max Drawdown7.8%
Max Losing Streak2 trades

⏱️ 30-min Delay

Final Bankroll$9,653.72
Total P&L-$346.28 (-3.5%)
Win Rate50.0% (2/4 trades)
Max Drawdown8.2%
Max Losing Streak2 trades

🕐 1-hour Delay

Final Bankroll$9,564.00
Total P&L-$436.00 (-4.4%)
Win Rate25.0% (1/4 trades)
Max Drawdown8.7%
Max Losing Streak3 trades

🏆 Top Market Analysis

Market Invested Redeemed P&L ROI
Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers O/U 233.5 $76,369.97 $155,857.08 +$79,487.11 +104.1%
Hurricanes vs Rangers $34,611.06 $38,034.47 +$3,423.41 +9.9%
Lakers vs Warriors $700.00 $0.00 -$700.00 -100.0%

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Risk Level: LOW RISK - 7.8% maximum drawdown in simulation
⚠️ Important Disclaimers:

📊 Risk Metrics

Recommended Minimum Bankroll$7,838
Position SizingMax 5% per trade
Market TypesSports totals, spreads, moneylines
Resolution TimeHours to days

💡 Key Insights & Findings

🎯 Copy-Trading Viability Assessment

✅ Positive Factors:

❌ Risk Factors:

🤔 Final Verdict:

Proceed with Caution: While kch123 has an impressive track record, copy-trading faces significant challenges:
  1. Execution Speed: Need near-instant copying to avoid price movement
  2. Capital Requirements: Need $50K+ to meaningfully copy large positions
  3. Market Access: Must have access to same markets at similar odds
  4. Variance: Prepare for substantial short-term drawdowns

Report generated on February 8, 2026 | Based on sample of recent trades

For full analysis, process complete 1,862+ trade history