Case
8638500190
- Built deep-scraper skill (CDP-based X feed extraction) - Three-stage pipeline: scrape → triage → investigate - Paper trading simulator with position tracking - First live investigation: verified kch123 Polymarket profile ($9.3M P&L) - Opened first paper position: Seahawks Super Bowl @ 68c - Telegram alerts with inline action buttons - Portal build in progress (night shift)
188 lines
9.6 KiB
JSON
188 lines
9.6 KiB
JSON
{
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"batch_id": "20260208-054451",
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"created_at": "2026-02-08T05:44:51.173389+00:00",
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"count": 4,
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"investigations": [
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{
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"id": "inv-20260208-054451-0",
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"post_author": "@bored2boar",
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"post_url": "https://x.com/bored2boar/status/2020079794046529553",
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"priority": 4,
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"claims": [
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{
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"type": "arbitrage_opp",
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"match": "arb",
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"span": [
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29,
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32
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]
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},
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{
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"type": "arbitrage_opp",
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"match": "arb",
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"span": [
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69,
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72
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]
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},
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{
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"type": "prediction_market",
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"match": "Polymarket",
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"span": [
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100,
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110
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]
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}
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],
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"tasks": [
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{
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"action": "verify_arb",
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"description": "Verify opportunity: arb",
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"method": "Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk"
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},
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{
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"action": "verify_arb",
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"description": "Verify opportunity: arb",
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"method": "Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk"
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},
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{
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"action": "check_market",
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"description": "Check prediction market: Polymarket",
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"method": "Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria"
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},
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{
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"action": "browse_unknown",
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"description": "Check external link: https://t.co/bsqZikuGqZ",
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"url": "https://t.co/bsqZikuGqZ",
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"method": "Browse to link, determine if relevant"
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}
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],
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"prompt": "## Investigation: @bored2boar\n\n**Post:** : All you need to know about arbitrage\n\nFees and fast blocks destroy arbitrage profits.\n\nThat's why Polymarket added them for 15-min markets.\n\nFrom 96.7% at slow blocks/low fees to 0.3%\n\nFull doc: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.14604\n\n**Claims detected:**\n- [arbitrage_opp] arb\n- [arbitrage_opp] arb\n- [prediction_market] Polymarket\n\n**Links found:**\n- [unknown] https://t.co/bsqZikuGqZ\n\n**Investigation tasks:**\n1. **verify_arb**: Verify opportunity: arb\n Method: Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk\n2. **verify_arb**: Verify opportunity: arb\n Method: Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk\n3. **check_market**: Check prediction market: Polymarket\n Method: Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria\n4. **browse_unknown**: Check external link: https://t.co/bsqZikuGqZ\n Method: Browse to link, determine if relevant\n URL: https://t.co/bsqZikuGqZ\n\n**Deliver:**\n1. Is the claim verifiable? What does the actual data show?\n2. Is there recent activity? (Last 24-48h)\n3. Is this still actionable or has the window closed?\n4. Risk assessment (1-10, where 10 is highest risk)\n5. Verdict: ACTIONABLE / EXPIRED / EXAGGERATED / SCAM / UNVERIFIABLE\n6. If ACTIONABLE: suggested paper trade parameters (asset, entry, size, stop loss, take profit)\n",
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"status": "pending",
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"result": null
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},
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{
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"id": "inv-20260208-054451-1",
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"post_author": "@MoonDevOnYT",
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"post_url": "https://x.com/MoonDevOnYT/status/2020307190989615511",
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"priority": 3,
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"claims": [
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{
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"type": "arbitrage_opp",
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"match": "spread",
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"span": [
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3781,
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3787
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]
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},
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{
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"type": "arbitrage_opp",
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"match": "arb",
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"span": [
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4468,
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4471
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]
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},
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{
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"type": "arbitrage_opp",
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"match": "spread",
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"span": [
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4536,
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4542
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]
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}
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],
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"tasks": [
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{
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"action": "verify_arb",
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"description": "Verify opportunity: spread",
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"method": "Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk"
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},
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{
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"action": "verify_arb",
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"description": "Verify opportunity: arb",
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"method": "Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk"
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},
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{
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"action": "verify_arb",
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"description": "Verify opportunity: spread",
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"method": "Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk"
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}
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],
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"prompt": "## Investigation: @MoonDevOnYT\n\n**Post:** Stop Gambling, Start Engineering: The Ultimate Guide To CCXT Algorithmic Trading\n\nmost traders are essentially walking into a high stakes casino with a blindfold on while the house has a high speed laser aimed directly at their bankroll. if you have ever felt the soul crushing weight of a liquidation notification at three in the morning then you know the market is a 24/7 beast that eats human emotion for breakfast\n\nthere is a hidden bridge that connects your laptop to almost every major crypto e\n\n**Claims detected:**\n- [arbitrage_opp] spread\n- [arbitrage_opp] arb\n- [arbitrage_opp] spread\n\n**Links found:**\n\n**Investigation tasks:**\n1. **verify_arb**: Verify opportunity: spread\n Method: Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk\n2. **verify_arb**: Verify opportunity: arb\n Method: Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk\n3. **verify_arb**: Verify opportunity: spread\n Method: Check if spread/mismatch still exists, calculate actual risk\n\n**Deliver:**\n1. Is the claim verifiable? What does the actual data show?\n2. Is there recent activity? (Last 24-48h)\n3. Is this still actionable or has the window closed?\n4. Risk assessment (1-10, where 10 is highest risk)\n5. Verdict: ACTIONABLE / EXPIRED / EXAGGERATED / SCAM / UNVERIFIABLE\n6. If ACTIONABLE: suggested paper trade parameters (asset, entry, size, stop loss, take profit)\n",
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"status": "pending",
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"result": null
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},
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{
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"id": "inv-20260208-054451-2",
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"post_author": "@linie_oo",
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"post_url": "https://x.com/linie_oo/status/2020141674828034243",
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"priority": 3,
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"claims": [
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{
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"type": "prediction_market",
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"match": "polymarket",
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"span": [
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0,
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10
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]
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},
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{
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"type": "prediction_market",
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"match": "polymarket",
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"span": [
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156,
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166
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]
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}
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],
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"tasks": [
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{
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"action": "check_market",
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"description": "Check prediction market: polymarket",
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"method": "Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria"
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},
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{
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"action": "check_market",
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"description": "Check prediction market: polymarket",
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"method": "Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria"
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},
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{
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"action": "browse_unknown",
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"description": "Check external link: https://t.co/vnwm80ORws",
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"url": "https://t.co/vnwm80ORws",
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"method": "Browse to link, determine if relevant"
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}
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],
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"prompt": "## Investigation: @linie_oo\n\n**Post:** polymarket trader who is almost $10,000,000 in profit from sports betting\n\n$9,300,000 all-time with half of it made just this month alone\n\nprofile: https://polymarket.com/@kch123?via=linie-oo\u2026\n\ncheck out his inhuman stats:\n-> $2,400,000 in active positions at this very moment\n-> $1,095,000 biggest\n\n**Claims detected:**\n- [prediction_market] polymarket\n- [prediction_market] polymarket\n\n**Links found:**\n- [unknown] https://t.co/vnwm80ORws\n\n**Investigation tasks:**\n1. **check_market**: Check prediction market: polymarket\n Method: Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria\n2. **check_market**: Check prediction market: polymarket\n Method: Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria\n3. **browse_unknown**: Check external link: https://t.co/vnwm80ORws\n Method: Browse to link, determine if relevant\n URL: https://t.co/vnwm80ORws\n\n**Deliver:**\n1. Is the claim verifiable? What does the actual data show?\n2. Is there recent activity? (Last 24-48h)\n3. Is this still actionable or has the window closed?\n4. Risk assessment (1-10, where 10 is highest risk)\n5. Verdict: ACTIONABLE / EXPIRED / EXAGGERATED / SCAM / UNVERIFIABLE\n6. If ACTIONABLE: suggested paper trade parameters (asset, entry, size, stop loss, take profit)\n",
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"status": "pending",
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"result": null
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},
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{
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"id": "inv-20260208-054451-3",
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"post_author": "@Polymarket",
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"post_url": "",
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"priority": 2,
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"claims": [
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{
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"type": "prediction_market",
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"match": "Polymarket",
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"span": [
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38,
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48
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]
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}
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],
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"tasks": [
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{
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"action": "check_market",
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"description": "Check prediction market: Polymarket",
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"method": "Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria"
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}
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],
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"prompt": "## Investigation: @Polymarket\n\n**Post:** There's two sides to every trade. The Polymarket Portal is now live in Boston & Seattle. \n\nBoston: 166 Canal St, Boston, MA 02114\nSeattle: 589 Occidental Ave S, Seattle, WA 98134\n\nLet the games begin.\n\n**Claims detected:**\n- [prediction_market] Polymarket\n\n**Links found:**\n\n**Investigation tasks:**\n1. **check_market**: Check prediction market: Polymarket\n Method: Verify current odds, volume, resolution criteria\n\n**Deliver:**\n1. Is the claim verifiable? What does the actual data show?\n2. Is there recent activity? (Last 24-48h)\n3. Is this still actionable or has the window closed?\n4. Risk assessment (1-10, where 10 is highest risk)\n5. Verdict: ACTIONABLE / EXPIRED / EXAGGERATED / SCAM / UNVERIFIABLE\n6. If ACTIONABLE: suggested paper trade parameters (asset, entry, size, stop loss, take profit)\n",
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"status": "pending",
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"result": null
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}
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]
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} |