Feed Hunter: deep scraper skill, pipeline, simulator, first investigation

- Built deep-scraper skill (CDP-based X feed extraction)
- Three-stage pipeline: scrape → triage → investigate
- Paper trading simulator with position tracking
- First live investigation: verified kch123 Polymarket profile ($9.3M P&L)
- Opened first paper position: Seahawks Super Bowl @ 68c
- Telegram alerts with inline action buttons
- Portal build in progress (night shift)

projects/feed-hunter/data/investigations/inv-20260208-kch123.json

@@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
+{
+  "id": "inv-20260208-kch123",
+  "source_post": {
+    "author": "@linie_oo",
+    "url": "https://x.com/linie_oo/status/2020141674828034243",
+    "claim": "polymarket trader who is almost $10,000,000 in profit from sports betting"
+  },
+  "investigation": {
+    "profile_url": "https://polymarket.com/@kch123",
+    "verified_data": {
+      "all_time_pnl": "$9,371,829.00",
+      "positions_value": "$2.3m",
+      "biggest_win": "$1.1m",
+      "total_predictions": 1862,
+      "past_month_pnl": "$3,308,983.50",
+      "joined": "Jun 2025",
+      "profile_views": "580.4k"
+    },
+    "claim_vs_reality": {
+      "claimed_profit": "$9,300,000",
+      "actual_profit": "$9,371,829",
+      "accuracy": "VERIFIED — actually slightly understated",
+      "claimed_half_this_month": "$3,308,983.50 past month = ~35% of total (not exactly half but close)",
+      "active_positions": "$2.3m (post claimed $2.4m — close enough)"
+    },
+    "risk_assessment": {
+      "score": 7,
+      "notes": [
+        "Account is real and profitable — verified on-chain via Polymarket",
+        "Past performance doesn't guarantee future results",
+        "Sports betting has high variance — $9M profit could swing hard",
+        "Copy-trading lag: by the time you see + copy, odds may have moved",
+        "1,862 predictions suggests systematic approach, not luck",
+        "Concentration risk: $2.3M in active positions is aggressive"
+      ]
+    },
+    "verdict": "VERIFIED — profile is real, numbers check out",
+    "actionable": true,
+    "strategy_notes": "Could build a copy-bot that monitors kch123's positions via Polymarket API and mirrors trades with configurable delay/sizing. Need to backtest: what would returns look like if you copied with a 5-min/30-min/1-hr delay? Slippage matters."
+  },
+  "suggested_simulation": {
+    "strategy": "polymarket-copy-kch123",
+    "type": "bet",
+    "approach": "Mirror kch123 active positions via Polymarket API",
+    "bankroll": 1000,
+    "max_position": 200,
+    "backtest_needed": true,
+    "backtest_plan": "Pull kch123 historical trades via API, simulate copying with various delays, measure P&L impact of timing lag"
+  }
+}