44 lines
2.1 KiB
Markdown
44 lines
2.1 KiB
Markdown
# 2026-02-08
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## Morning Session
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### Infrastructure
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- Set up nginx reverse proxy for name-based service access
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- feedhunter.local / feedhunter.case → Feed Hunter portal (:8888)
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- admin.local / admin.case → Control Panel (:8000)
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- D J needs to set up DNS on router/devices for .case remote access (added to admin panel todos)
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- Added "⚡ Action Required" page to control panel — human todo system I can programmatically add to
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- Cleaned out fake seed data from control panel (fake OpenAI key, test budget entry)
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- Added clickable links on services page
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### kch123 Deep Analysis
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- **Full wallet analysis**: Only 1 wallet (0x6a72f6...), the "fiig" wallet was a different account
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- Profile shows +$9.37M but visible positions show -$30.6M in losses
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- ~$40M in winning bets already redeemed and invisible to API
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- Pattern: high-volume sports bettor, loses most bets, wins big enough to stay profitable
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- **1-week backtest** (only data available via activity API):
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- 60 wins, 0 losses, $1.07M profit in 7 days
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- Copy-trade sim: +183% (instant), +158% (30min delay), +137% (1hr delay)
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- BUT this is a hot streak, not representative of full history
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- Currently ALL IN on Seahawks for Super Bowl tonight (~$2.27M active)
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- His full historical book: $5.5M invested on this wallet, -$3.25M P&L before tonight
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### Monitoring
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- Built kch123-monitor.py — pure Python, zero AI tokens
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- Tracks new trades via Polymarket Data API
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- Updates paper trade sim prices
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- Sends Telegram alerts directly via bot API
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- Sends resolution report when game ends
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- Running as systemd timer (every 5min), not AI cron jobs
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- Lesson: use systemd timers for mechanical tasks, save AI tokens for reasoning
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### Copy-Trade Sim (active)
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- $1,000 bankroll, 5 positions mirroring kch123 proportionally
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- All Seahawks Super Bowl bets, game tonight ~5:30pm CST
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- Will auto-resolve and report via Telegram
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## Key Decisions
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- Systemd timers > AI cron jobs for mechanical monitoring (zero token cost)
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- Telegram bot API for direct alerts bypasses AI entirely
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- Admin panel todos = how I request human action items
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